Rationale and Impact of Property Cooling Measures 2021

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“Despite the near term uncertainty about the Covid-19 situation, there is a clear upward market momentum in prices and transaction volumes. Left unchecked, prices are likely to run ahead of economic fundamentals.”

“Borrowers will also be vulnerable to likely rise in interest rate in the next year and beyond.”

“The government has decided to implement new cooling measures to reduce th risk of a self-reinforcing cycle of price increases in the private and Housing Board resale markets, which could impact housing affordability.”

“The measure will also encourage greater financial prudence among home buyers in the public housing market.”

“Crucially, our measures seek to prioritise housing purchases for genuine owner-occupation, especially among first-time home buyers.”

Source: ST 17 Dec 2021

Straits Times 17 Dec 2021

Click Here for Singapore Property Cooling Measures 2021: Raising ABSD Rates, Tightening TDSR & LTV Limits: 16Dec2021 (epropway.com)

 

Investors, foreigners, en bloc hopefuls to bear brunt of new cooling measures

“HIgher upfront costs and tighter financing conditions from Singapore’s latest cooling measures are expected to significantly shrink investor appetite in the property market, especially for sales of high end homes.”

“Foreign buyers, en bloc candidates and developers could also feel the pain keenly, analysts said.”

“Meanwhile, first-time Singaporean and permanent resident (PR) home buyers are the least affected.”

Business Times 17 Dec 2021

Business Times 17 Dec 2021

” The latest round of property cooling measures appears to be targeted at dampening the inflow of red-hot foreign capital in the higher-end private housing market, while ensuring housing affordability for first-time home buyers.”

Straits Times 17 Dec 2021


“Analyst say new curbs are likely to make developers more cautious in bidding for land and cause the en-bloc to fizzle out over time.”

“Savills Singapore managing director for investment sales and capital markets, Jeremy Lake, anticipates the latest measures to “take the heat out of the en bloc market” and prompt some collective sale candidates to give up or at least moderate their price expectations.”

Business Times 22 Dec 2021

 
 
Singapore preliminary 2021GDP growth 7.2%
Private Home Prices increased 10.6% in 2021
HDB Resale Prices jumped 12.5% in 2021
Household debt increased by 6.8% in absolute terms over the past year
Interest rate poised to rise this year
 
With latest cooling measure:
Private home sales volume expected to slow
But Sellers’ market unlikely to turn into Buyers’ market overnight
Developers not expected to cut prices significantly – Unsold home inventory at record low level, land & construction costs climbing
Most analysts do not see a sharp correction in prices – price growth could moderate to between flat and 2% for 2022
Fewer new private homes expected to be launched this year
 
HDB Resale:
Pace of Price Growth likely to slow due to
– new measures
– HDB ramping up supply of new BTO flats over the next 2 yrs
Demand should remain healthy due to:
– construction delays
– extended waiting time for BTO completions
– tight supply of new mass market private homes
– firm private home prices in the suburbs
epropway-cooling-measusres-impact_ST4Jan21
Straits Times 3 Jan 2022